First Warning Forecast: A soggy and windy end to the week


A soggy end to the week… We will see a mix of clouds again today with an isolated shower possible. Highs will warm to the upper 70s today, closer to normal for this time of year.

The remnants of Hurricane Sally will spread over the Southeast as a cold front moves through the Mid-Atlantic Thursday and Friday. Widespread rain will build in on Thursday and continue through most of the day Friday. Flash flooding is possible as parts of the area could see 4”+ of rainfall. Winds will pick up on Friday, NE 10-20 with gusts to near 30 mph.

Showers will linger into the weekend, mainly Saturday morning. Most of the weekend will be dry with more clouds on Saturday and more sunshine mixing in on Sunday. It will be very fall-like this weekend with highs in the upper 60s to low 70s and low humidity. The biggest issue for the weekend will be the wind. Expect strong NE winds at 15 to 25 mph and gusts to 35+ mph both Saturday and Sunday. Those persistent NE winds will likely trigger some tidal flooding.

Catastrophic flooding likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. Hurricane Sally is centered about 50 miles SSE of Mobile, Alabama or about 40 miles SW of Pensacola, Florida and moving slowly NNE. On the forecast track, the center of Sally will approach the northern Gulf Coast this morning and make landfall later today. Sally is then expected to move inland across southeastern Alabama tonight.Recent data from An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and the Mobile Alabama Doppler weather radar indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph with higher gusts. Some slight increase in strength is possible before the center of Sally’s eye makes landfall later this morning. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall occurs.

Hurricane Paulette is expected to become a powerful extratropical cyclone later today. Paulette is centered about 385 miles SSE of Cape race, Newfoundland and moving quickly ENE. This general motion is expected into Thursday. Afterward, Paulette is forecast to slow down and turn toward the SSE and south late Thursday and Friday.Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts. Although gradual weakening is forecast, Paulette is expected to become a powerful extratropical cyclone later today.

Teddy expected to become a major hurricane. Teddy is centered about 820 miles east of the Lesser Antilles and moving NW. This general motion is forecast to continue for the next few days.Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Teddy is likely to become a major hurricane later today and could reach category 4 strength on Thursday.

Tropical Storm Vicky is forecast to weaken over the next couple of days. Vicky is centered about 755 miles WNW of the Cabo Verde Islands and moving WNW. A westward motion is expected to begin later today, followed by a WSW motion by late Thursday.Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next few days, and the system could become a remnant low on Thursday or Friday.


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