World News – CA – National Covid lockdown slated across England next week


Boris Johnson gives in to pressure from experts who have warned that the worst-case scenario may soon be over

Boris Johnson has bowed to pressure from his science advisers for new nationwide lockdown restrictions, which are expected to be announced early next week, the Guardian was told

Sir Patrick Vallance and Professor Chris Whitty, who head the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage), have reportedly warned the Prime Minister that now is the time for national action across England Sage scientists presented evidence to Johnson at a meeting in Downing Street, where they explained that Covid-19 is spreading much faster than their worst-case scenarios

Scientists, who are backed by Health Secretary Matt Hancock and Michael Gove, have reportedly argued that local measures are no longer enough and the virus could kill 85,000 people this winter Sage’s proposals for a  » Breaker ‘of two weeks over half of the mandate were rejected by ministers It is now believed that something more will be needed

However, the exact extent of the new lockdown restrictions has yet to be decided that will be debated this weekend as Johnson and Chancellor Rishi Sunak attempt to determine what can be imposed through the England without seriously harming the economy

Scientists have been warning for weeks that the pandemic is spreading nationwide and that local action will not be enough The React study at Imperial College London this week reported that the R number – measuring the number of people infected by each person transmitting the virus – was at its highest in the south of the country, which meant it was likely to follow the pattern of the north, which currently has the highest number of cases and where restrictions level 3 are widely imposed

The development came after scientists and public health advisers said imposing new national measures could ‘save Christmas from the coronavirus’ and allow families to meet during the holiday season

Sage documents released on Friday showed Covid was spreading much faster across England than even the worst-case scenario the government predicted for cases and hospital admissions earlier this month

Official figures also showed more than half a million people are believed to have had coronavirus in the week ending October 23, with more than one in 100 people infected in England, up from one in 130 the previous week There were 24,405 more positive tests in the UK and 274 more deaths

The impact on the economy of the national restrictions would however be significant Many stores make most of their profits in the « golden quarter » between Halloween and the January sales The British Retail Consortium has launched a campaign demanding shoppers to « shop early, start packing, enjoy Christmas »

Cases are increasing faster in London and the south-east than in the north of England, which is under stricter measures, but the entire country is at a critical point, warned this week a report from Imperial College London

Foreign Minister Dominic Raab on Friday did not deny that ministers were considering introducing a higher level of level 4 coronavirus restrictions for England, with officials drawing up plans to force them restaurants and non-essential stores to close in areas with the highest infection rates

Almost 60% of the English population is now subject to level 2 or 3 measures, preventing households from mixing indoors Without intervention, it was « only a matter of time » before most, if not all, of the country faces such restrictions, warned Dr Mike Tildesley

Tildesley, an epidemiologist at the University of Warwick, helped produce a ‘reasonable worst-case scenario’ for Sage’s modeling subgroup, which warned that 85,000 people could die from Covid this winter

He told The Guardian: “As epidemiologists we have to think about the impact on public health and that is really essential, but I think it is important for us to recognize that the general public has had a pretty bad year [but] I don’t think any scientific group is advocating removing all restrictions on Christmas – clearly that is not possible

« But speaking on my behalf, what I would like to see is that we are able to do a little relaxation, for example by allowing slightly larger family groups to be together, maybe be by having the rule of 10 or 12 instead of six To do that we have to do something like a blackout or something on a more national scale to reduce incidents… sooner or later « 

Dr Julian Tang, consultant virologist at Leicester Royal Infirmary, said: ‘If we start now I would say you would need at least six weeks of lockdown with full compliance across the country The government should fund this because the economy would be badly affected

« Unfortunately after Christmas and New Years cases are going to rise again, but if we want this break we could have a drop enough [in breeding numbers] to give everyone a break If you say ‘if you want to save Christmas from the Grinch coronavirus’ then I think people will « 

Linda Bauld, professor of public health at the University of Edinburgh, said tighter restrictions in the decentralized countries of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland appeared to be working and that the England should follow suit with a national circuit breaker

« I think it should be done, I don’t really see any other options, but I don’t think it would allow us to have a normal Christmas, » she said « However, I hope that if you had a circuit breaker it would bring the whole country up to level 1 by Christmas

« I am cautiously optimistic here in Scotland that we might be able to meet people within two or three households, for example This is not normal, but it would allow you to see the immediate family « 

Andy Burnham, Mayor of Greater Manchester, said: ‘I think if we approach a national cutoff in the right way at the right time it would allow families more contact during the Christmas season than it would otherwise be. the case cases – especially if we ask families to manage their own conditions of isolation … so that maybe two households could be bubbling up « 

At a press conference on Friday, he presented figures showing cases in London and the South East increased by 55% and 63% week on week, compared to 43% in Greater Manchester

Birmingham City Council chief Ian Ward called for an urgent national lockdown for four weeks, warning that level 3 curbs were not enough to protect the NHS « The sooner we put in place a national circuit breaker, the better it will be because it will save lives and do more to save the economy, » he said.

« If there are eight weeks left before Christmas… we need a four week [national] breaker… [as] the best opportunity to get the numbers under control to bring case rates down again and allow some easing or other restrictions for families during this Christmas period « 

Downing Street fears Covid measures will not be followed over Christmas This week, TV and radio presenter Victoria Derbyshire was forced to apologize after saying she would break the ‘rule of six’ for his festive lunch

Others have suggested ways around the rules, including having a funeral on December 25 for a ‘pet turkey’, while a man from Leeds set up a business so he could organize a ‘pet turkey’ unpaid work event ‘with people outside his home on Christmas Day

On Thursday Scottish Prime Minister Nicola Sturgeon said the best chance of getting a little ‘Christmas cheer’ was to stick to the various tiered restrictions that apply to parts of Scotland

UK Health Secretary Jonathan Ashworth said he doubted a family of more than six could meet at Christmas « I think because they missed that window of opportunity over of the semester, I’m worried now that what we’ll see is deeper and more drastic lockdown action in November and December, which unfortunately probably puts Christmas in jeopardy, ”he told Times Radio

His Labor colleague Khalid Mahmood, Birmingham MP Perry Barr, said now is the time for those thinking about Christmas celebrations to recognize the sacrifices made by Muslims across the UK earlier this year Sections of northern England were locked down on July 31, hours before the Eid-al-Adha festival

« People were getting ready to see their families, all the food had been cooked, the clothes had been bought and then, literally with a few hours’ notice, Eid was canceled in some parts of the country, » he said. he declared

« But we bit the bullet and stayed resolute and we just kept going because we were told we had an assignment and we couldn’t let go of the side Now is the time for others to do the same « 

Lockdown, Coronavirus, Boris Johnson, UK

News from around the world – CA – National Covid lockdown expected in England next week



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