World News – UA – Biggest Green Vote Ever: Election Predictions


The Greens are on track to register more than 40% of the primary vote in South Brisbane and at the Maiwar headquarters, based in Indooroopilly, said Max Chandler-Mather, party strategist in Queensland

The party is expected to win 39-43% in South Brisbane and up to 42% in Maiwar, based on campaign data on the ground

The highest ever state-level primary vote for the party in Australia came last year when Jamie Parker scored 427% in Balmain’s Sydney seat and Jenny Leong won 46% in the city neighbor of Newtown

M Chandler-Mather said the methodology of their field campaign data was « eerily accurate » in predicting outcomes in the Gabba neighborhood during the 2016 Council election, where Jonathan Sri became the first councilor of the left

« We also got Maiwar’s vote exactly the last time and South Brisbane’s vote as well, » he said.

Michael Berkman’s victory in Maiwar shocked many election observers, none of whom predicted the Greens could take the LNP seat

M Chandler-Mather said he rechecked his calculations early this afternoon with stand workers and the campaign’s field data forecast appeared to be coming true

If this is correct, M Berkman would win Maiwar with a two-party preferred vote of 54-57%, he said, comfortably beating Lauren Day of the LNP despite only a slight drop in the LNP primary vote

« The Labor Party vote is going to crumble badly and we are going to scratch it, » said M Chandler-Mather

Ms Day, a former senior Channel 10 reporter who ran a well-organized, well-funded and vigorous campaign, said she thinks LNP is doing well

M Chandler-Mather said if the party’s data was correct, the Greens ‘Amy MacMahon would get a whopping 60 percent of both parties’ preferred vote, easily beating Labor Party Jackie Trad

This involved dividing the door knocking responses into seven categories: people who said they would definitely vote Greens, people who said they probably would, voters split 50:50, people who were « opposed » to the party and those who indicated they would definitely not vote for the Greens

The methodology also took into account people who said they were not interested in politics or would not say what they intended to do.

M Chandler-Mather said they had 100% of people who indicated they would undoubtedly vote the Greens as stranded voters

But they only counted 50% of those who said they would « probably » vote the Greens as stranded supporters


Maroochydore MP Fiona Simpson claimed victory to extend her career beyond three decades in state parliament


The Greens have taken the biggest scalp in Queensland’s election, but the party is also on track to quadruple its seat count


Many believed Annastacia Palaszczuk took a poisoned chalice when she became Labor leader in 2012 with just seven seats after Newman’s rout


Police charged a teenage girl with the murder of Lisa Hund, who was found dead at her Kepnock Street home yesterday morning


LNP’s Jim McDonald looks set to retain Lockyer’s seat after securing a solid lead


The four outgoing Labor MPs from Ipswich have opened important avenues


Queensland elections are about to go downhill with some big names at risk of losing their seats Here’s how all the seats fall, in real time


Jennifer Howard, out of work, waits nervously as the countdown begins


Chris Green, LNP candidate at Ipswich West, says voters have expressed frustration


Hail has already been reported west of Ipswich, with several thunderstorm cells over the

© The Queensland Times Pty Limited 2020 Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited by Australian law and by international treaty

Queensland Greens, Australian Greens, Michael Berkman, 2020 Queensland State Elections, Maiwar Constituency

World News – AU – Biggest Vote Greens never registered: election forecasts


Donnez votre avis et abonnez-vous pour plus d’infos


Vidéo du jour: